• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1921

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sun Aug 10 10:00:19 2025
    ACUS11 KWNS 101000
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 100959=20
    IAZ000-101130-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1921
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0459 AM CDT Sun Aug 10 2025

    Areas affected...portions of central IA

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 584...

    Valid 100959Z - 101130Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 584
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Isolated strong to severe wind gusts remain possible
    across central Iowa.

    DISCUSSION...A cluster of storms will continue to track northeast
    across central Iowa this morning. Overall radar presentation has
    become somewhat disorganized, but a corridor of 60-70 kt velocity
    signatures aloft are still noted to the west of the Des Moines
    vicinity. Instability decreases gradually with northeast extent, and
    stronger effective shear magnitudes remain displaced to the north.
    While severe gusts are possible over the next couple of hours, the
    expectation is that a gradual weakening trend will continue as
    convection develops northeast.

    ..Leitman.. 08/10/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!9rOe0gRniEK4uKJrdHXoAvfmDL5RRBURJlV_J9kqqCV8wwy6sg3zA-n_oGus1ylyqIaeOMnTE= hX5UiwkNW65G4WIuAg$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...DVN...ARX...DMX...OAX...

    LAT...LON 42049209 41559278 41279360 41059453 41129495 41339497
    41979471 42619336 42839257 42659203 42049209=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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