• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1907

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sat Aug 9 04:27:29 2025
    ACUS11 KWNS 090426
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 090425=20
    MNZ000-WIZ000-IAZ000-SDZ000-090630-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1907
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    1125 PM CDT Fri Aug 08 2025

    Areas affected...Minnesota region

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 578...

    Valid 090425Z - 090630Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 578
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Convection should gradually increase along the surface
    front across ww578.

    DISCUSSION...Weak mid-level height falls are expected across the
    upper MS Valley into the early-morning hours, immediately ahead of
    progressive northern Plains upper trough. Leading edge of
    large-scale forcing appear to be approaching this region where
    thunderstorms have struggled a bit over the last few hours. Latest
    radar data suggests convection continues along the surface front
    from Kandiyohi-Crow Wing County, and some upward increase remains
    possible in response to the approaching trough. Forecast soundings
    suggest 700mb temperatures should cool a few degrees which supports
    a gradual increase in storms along the frontal zone.

    ..Darrow.. 08/09/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!_pKwoME0vIqzCe-j3JoBvR58HgXNGdE10lpA0z1qV6QMhZSkdh9lb2C_DzdT03WJ2kS7x0wTj= wZ5vd8Kep-pkgah0gg$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...DMX...FGF...FSD...ABR...

    LAT...LON 43289764 48459445 48459097 43289447 43289764=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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