ACUS11 KWNS 172305
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 172305=20
OKZ000-TXZ000-180000-

Mesoscale Discussion 1338
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0605 PM CDT Tue Jun 17 2025

Areas affected...Parts of the eastern OK/TX Panhandles into far
northwest OK

Concerning...Tornado Watch 429...

Valid 172305Z - 180000Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 429 continues.

SUMMARY...Intensification of an ongoing discrete supercell is
possible as it continues southeastward over the next couple hours --
with an associated risk of supercell tornadoes.

DISCUSSION...A discrete supercell has developed over the OK
Panhandle, within a localized zone of surface convergence. Strongly
unstable inflow for this storm and large streamwise vorticity
(250-300 m2/s2 effective SRH) will support the intensification of
this storm as it tracks southeastward over the next couple hours. If
this occurs, supercell tornadoes and large hail will both be
concerns.

..Weinman.. 06/17/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!4k09bj0zeAFRIFAyimAPlWuX-BHATv5sJ75elu3Vy0t3qEL0f-BNZ4EQbcty4YHHk50U3euqv= xHuoCSoVmEGL4bO_bA$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...AMA...

LAT...LON 36210108 36540117 36880094 36940061 36840023 36549987
36159998 36000034 36060075 36210108=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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