ACUS11 KWNS 171756
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 171756=20
NCZ000-TNZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-171930-

Mesoscale Discussion 1331
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1256 PM CDT Tue Jun 17 2025

Areas affected...central to northeast AL...northwest GA...southeast
TN

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 171756Z - 171930Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...Weakly organized multicell clustering may yield sporadic
strong gusts and localized wind damage through late afternoon. A
watch is not expected.

DISCUSSION...An east-northeastward moving MCV over western TN has
aided in scattered to widespread convection across the Deep South
towards the central Gulf Coast. A confined belt of moderate 700-500
mb southwesterlies is present across northern AL per the HTX VWP
data, with speeds progressively weaker with southern extent. Greater
clustering has largely occurred in the progressively weak shear
environment from central AL southward. It is plausible that a
loosely organized cluster might emerge to the east-northeast from
central AL along the southern extent of the flow enhancement. With
largely mid 80s surface temperatures downstream, sporadic strong
gusts from 45-55 mph should be the common hazard.

..Grams/Hart.. 06/17/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!6_lKBMD1SWZI2wTqLV-juhsLiXHo1O2X5iQXGKqFRxEbafVjc1uY-RS3b8OcfzyxE5TeYF2yG= HReHDiFMxvCuCQ4Vtc$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...GSP...MRX...FFC...OHX...BMX...HUN...

LAT...LON 34588686 35088662 35318606 35748507 35848423 35708387
35318379 34818424 34368456 33858489 33318551 32888606
32728639 32698698 32828732 33778682 34588686=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH


=3D =3D =3D
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